Orbuculumbeta

Stony Brook University

Stony Brook, NY
FY 2023-24 fragility
51
/ 100
moderate

Composite Fragility Score over time

Pillar trajectories

Operating Margin
(Operating revenue − operating expenses) / operating revenue. Industry-standard debt-rating heuristics — Fitch-style bands for privates, Moody's-aligned for publics. Score reflects current year and 3-year rolling average — single positive years don't erase chronic distress.
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.
Pricing Power
Real net tuition revenue per FTE, 5-year change. Falling real net tuition + rising discount rate = market rejection of value proposition. Discount rate is the all-student institutional rate (F2C05 + F2C06 funded + unfunded grants over gross tuition); schools typically publish a first-time-in-college rate which runs 5-10 points higher.
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.
Debt Burden
Viability ratio (expendable net assets / plant debt) with debt-acceleration penalty. Catches schools whose covenants are at risk because of recent debt issuance.
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.
Liquidity
Days cash on hand. Tuition-collapse override prevents 'deathbed cash' from misleading the score (high cash from emergency relief while school is shrinking).
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.

Institutional debt per student

Total institutional long-term debt (not student loans) divided by full-time-equivalent enrollment, nominal dollars. For public-university systems with centralized bond debt (UC, FL SUS), the system pool is allocated across sibling campuses proportional to FTE.

Long-term debt per FTE student · FY 2023-24
$63,801
$1.64B total debt ÷ 25,719 FTE
Breakdown: $1.62B IPEDS-reported + $16.2M FTE-allocated system
IPEDS-reported debt / FTE · trend
105% since FY 2004-05 ($30,850)

Latest-year debt per FTE student includes IPEDS-reported plant debt plus the LLM-enriched DSO snapshot (off-balance-sheet bonds at affiliated entities — typically FY 2024 audit values). For SUNY (DASNY Construction Fund), the system bond pool is the sum of all sibling campuses’ DSO_DEBT_SYSTEM values, allocated to this campus by FTE share — not attributed entirely to the flagship UNITID. The trajectory line shows IPEDS-reported debt only (no DSO) for consistency across years — DSO is a single audit-year snapshot, not a time series.

Athletics & enrollment

Share of undergrads who play varsity sports (EADA, U.S. Dept of Education). A rising ratio over time at a tuition-dependent private is the “athletic ratchet” — adding sports or expanding rosters to fill seats as enrollment pressure mounts. Snapshots taken at ~6-year intervals.

Varsity athletes as reported · AY 2024-25
2.6%
449 athletes ÷ 17,141 UG
NCAA Division I-FCS
% athletes · trend (3 snapshots)
0.7 pts since AY 2005-06 (3.4%)
Coaching footprint · AY 2024-25
14 head + 36 assistant = 50 total
1 coach per 9.0 reported athletes
Typical varsity-only programs run 6–10 athletes per coach. Ratios well below that often reveal off-roster recruiting pools (JV, developmental, club with serious recruiting) that don’t show up in EADA’s varsity headcount.

What EADA counts: a student who participated in at least one intercollegiate (varsity) competition during the academic year. Excludes redshirts, JV / developmental rosters, and club sports. The actual athletic-recruit footprint can be substantially larger than this count. At D3 schools, “athletic aid” reads $0 in EADA because institutional merit aid that functions as recruitment subsidy isn’t classified as athletic aid — so the discount-rate signal on this page is the right place to look for that money.

Peer-anchored estimated total athletes
2.3%
386 implied athletes ÷ 17,141 UG
vs 2.6% reported (449)
kept-peer range suggests 22% (356–410 athletes)
roughly in line with peer expectations
Algorithmic peers · trimmed mean 7.7:1 (kept range 7.1:18.2:1)
PeerUGRatio
University of DelawareDE18,3657.8:1
Montana State UniversityMT12,8847.1:1
SUNY at AlbanyNY(trimmed)12,0106.7:1
University of California-DavisCA31,4648.2:1
North Dakota State University-Main CampusND(trimmed)8,6808.7:1

Peers chosen by similarity score: same control + NCAA division weighted highest, plus Carnegie classification and UG enrollment band. The highest and lowest peer ratios are trimmed before averaging so one outlier doesn’t shift the range; the implied range is the school’s coach count multiplied by the kept peers’ min and max ratios, capped at UG enrollment.

Where the money goes

Full functional-expense breakdown from IPEDS F1A (public) / F2 (private) filings. Every card shows nominal dollars, share of total operating expense, and dollars per fall-headcount student. Buckets sum to the reported total.

IPEDS functional expense breakdown · fiscal year ending 2023
$135K/student in total operating expense across 25,865 fall headcount ($3.50B nominal)
Compare to other schools →
Instruction
$20K/student
14.9% of total$520.7M nominal
Faculty salaries, benefits, and department operating costs for credit-bearing instruction.
Research
$7K/student
5.0% of total$175.8M nominal
Externally- and internally-funded research activities. Grant-funded labs, research centers, staff scientists.
Public Service
$1K/student
1.0% of total$34.1M nominal
Extension programs, public broadcasting, community outreach. Big for land-grants (agricultural extension), near-zero for most privates.
Student Services
$5K/student
3.4% of total$119.9M nominal
Admissions, registrar, financial aid administration, career services, counseling, student activities, non-varsity intramural.
Institutional Support
$3K/student
2.3% of total$81.5M nominal
Executive management, HR, finance, legal, IT, general administrative services, PR/development. This is where administrative overhead lives — including enterprise IT.
Operation & Maintenance
$7K/student
5.0% of total$174.0M nominal
Facilities, utilities, custodial, grounds, maintenance. Privates report this inside Institutional Support under FASB.
Auxiliary Enterprises
$1K/student
1.0% of total$36.7M nominal
Housing, dining, bookstore, parking, athletics if separately budgeted. Self-supporting operations that charge users.
Hospital Services
$6K/student
4.4% of total$154.6M nominal
IPEDS 'hospital services' category. At R1s with embedded academic medical centers this is the clinical enterprise. At a small number of institutions without hospitals — NCF is the notable case — this line captures state-required healthcare allocations, student health center operations, or other health expenses that don't fit cleanly into other functional categories. When a small non-medical school shows a non-zero value here, treat it as flagged: check the school's audited financials for what's actually included.
Independent Operations
$82K/student
60.8% of total$2.13B nominal
Off-mission operations. Includes major medical centers reported separately (Ohio State Wexner, NYU Langone), JPL at CalTech, APL at Johns Hopkins, etc.
Scholarships & Grant Aid
$3K/student
2.2% of total$76.1M nominal
Institutional grants and scholarships awarded to students — the discount rate applied to sticker price.
Not reported separately for this control type: Academic Support.
Not applicable (reported $0): Other operating.

Administrative spending

Institutional Support (administration) measured two ways, from IPEDS expense-by-function reporting: as a share of total operating expenses alongside Instruction (faculty/teaching), and indexed against net tuition revenue to show whether admin spending tracks the revenue that funds it.

Admin: 1.7% → 2.8% · Instruction: 17.2% → 15.7%

Instruction and Institutional Support as a share of total operating expenses. Instruction is the IPEDS faculty/teaching proxy; Institutional Support is the administrative proxy (executive management, finance, HR, general admin). A narrowing gap means admin is gaining on teaching.

Student-to-admin ratio · AY 2023-24
36.7:1
25,719 student FTE ÷ 701 full-time admin
98% above Carnegie peer average — leaner than peers
Carnegie reference
18.5:1
R1: Doctoral, Very High Research · n=107
Mean students-per-admin across schools in the same Carnegie classification (target excluded). Higher means leaner administrative footprint.

What “admin” means here: Management (OCCUPCAT 300) + Business and Financial Operations (OCCUPCAT 310) full-time staff — the “decision-making admin” headcount. Source: IPEDS S2023_OC survey (Fall 2023). This is a headcount metric, not a dollar metric, so it isn’t contaminated by regional salary differences. Not part of the fragility score; surfaced as descriptive context only.

Program earnings outcomes

From the HEA Group’s January 2026 release of program-level earnings data used in AHEAD negotiations. Each tested program is checked against a same-state high-school-graduate earnings benchmark; programs also subject to OBBBA Gainful Employment lose Title IV eligibility on a fail and are flagged AT RISK.

Earnings by Program
Median earnings 4 years post-completion vs the earnings benchmark.
Benchmark
$34,350
NY HS-only median
  • Computer and Information Sciences General
    Bachelor · 258 completers in earnings cohort
    PASS +113K
  • Computer Engineering
    Bachelor · 55 completers in earnings cohort
    PASS +94K
  • Registered Nursing Nursing Administration Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing
    Bachelor · 272 completers in earnings cohort
    PASS +78K
  • Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions
    Bachelor · 42 completers in earnings cohort
    PASS +76K
  • Allied Health Diagnostic Intervention and Treatment Professions
    Bachelor · 48 completers in earnings cohort
    PASS +69K

Source: HEA Group Jan 2026 release using AHEAD-negotiations data. Pooled 2017-18 + 2018-19 completer cohorts; earnings measured CY 2022-23, inflation-adjusted to 2024 (CPI-U). Only programs with sufficient Title-IV completers appear in the test. “AT RISK” = fails the OBBBA Gainful Employment threshold — loss of Title IV eligibility likely, program likely closes.

Latest-year breakdown (FY 2023-24)

PillarRaw MetricScore
Operating Margin16.6%0 / 25
Pricing Power$11,136 real net tuition / FTE25 / 25
Debt Burden0.79 viability ratio18 / 25
Liquidity123 days cash on hand8 / 25

Peer schools

Closest by Fragility Score in FY 2023-24. Financial similarity only — geographic / regional clustering is a separate (future) feature.

Selected raw financials — FY 2023-24

GASB / IPEDS Finance F1A. DSO totals from LLM enrichment of audited financial statements; see /sources for citations.

Total revenue (F1B27)
$3.81B
Total expenses (F1C191)
$3.74B
Net tuition revenue (F1B01)
$273.3M
Auxiliary enterprises revenue (F1B05)
$120.2M
State appropriations (F1B11)
$671.4M
Endowment EOY (F1H02)
$786.2M
Long-term debt (F1A10)
$1.62B
Expendable net position (F1N05)
$1.28B
Interest expense (F1C19IN)
$66.1M
DSO debt — campus-specific
DSO debt — system-level pool