Orbuculumbeta

Ohio State University-Main Campus

Columbus, OH
FY 2023-24 fragility
48
/ 100
moderate

Composite Fragility Score over time

Pillar trajectories

Operating Margin
(Operating revenue − operating expenses) / operating revenue. Industry-standard debt-rating heuristics — Fitch-style bands for privates, Moody's-aligned for publics. Score reflects current year and 3-year rolling average — single positive years don't erase chronic distress.
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.
Pricing Power
Real net tuition revenue per FTE, 5-year change. Falling real net tuition + rising discount rate = market rejection of value proposition. Discount rate is the all-student institutional rate (F2C05 + F2C06 funded + unfunded grants over gross tuition); schools typically publish a first-time-in-college rate which runs 5-10 points higher.
Debt Burden
Viability ratio (expendable net assets / plant debt) with debt-acceleration penalty. Catches schools whose covenants are at risk because of recent debt issuance.
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.
Liquidity
Days cash on hand. Tuition-collapse override prevents 'deathbed cash' from misleading the score (high cash from emergency relief while school is shrinking).
Amber dot = unusual single-year shift; smoothed metric attenuates impact. Hover for context.

Institutional debt per student

Total institutional long-term debt (not student loans) divided by full-time-equivalent enrollment, nominal dollars. For public-university systems with centralized bond debt (UC, FL SUS), the system pool is allocated across sibling campuses proportional to FTE.

Long-term debt per FTE student · FY 2023-24
$114,697
$6.82B total debt ÷ 59,504 FTE
Breakdown: $3.18B IPEDS-reported + $3.65B FTE-allocated system
IPEDS-reported debt / FTE · trend
573% since FY 2004-05 ($7,932)

Latest-year debt per FTE student includes IPEDS-reported plant debt plus the LLM-enriched DSO snapshot (off-balance-sheet bonds at affiliated entities — typically FY 2024 audit values). For Ohio State University System, the system bond pool is the sum of all sibling campuses’ DSO_DEBT_SYSTEM values, allocated to this campus by FTE share — not attributed entirely to the flagship UNITID. The trajectory line shows IPEDS-reported debt only (no DSO) for consistency across years — DSO is a single audit-year snapshot, not a time series.

Athletics & enrollment

Share of undergrads who play varsity sports (EADA, U.S. Dept of Education). A rising ratio over time at a tuition-dependent private is the “athletic ratchet” — adding sports or expanding rosters to fill seats as enrollment pressure mounts. Snapshots taken at ~6-year intervals.

Varsity athletes as reported · AY 2024-25
2.2%
956 athletes ÷ 42,955 UG
NCAA Division I-FBS
% athletes · trend (3 snapshots)
0.2 pts since AY 2005-06 (2.5%)
Coaching footprint · AY 2024-25
33 head + 104 assistant = 137 total
1 coach per 7.0 reported athletes
Typical varsity-only programs run 6–10 athletes per coach. Ratios well below that often reveal off-roster recruiting pools (JV, developmental, club with serious recruiting) that don’t show up in EADA’s varsity headcount.

What EADA counts: a student who participated in at least one intercollegiate (varsity) competition during the academic year. Excludes redshirts, JV / developmental rosters, and club sports. The actual athletic-recruit footprint can be substantially larger than this count. At D3 schools, “athletic aid” reads $0 in EADA because institutional merit aid that functions as recruitment subsidy isn’t classified as athletic aid — so the discount-rate signal on this page is the right place to look for that money.

Peer-anchored estimated total athletes
2.3%
985 implied athletes ÷ 42,955 UG
vs 2.2% reported (956)
kept-peer range suggests 22% (959–1,013 athletes)
roughly in line with peer expectations
Algorithmic peers · trimmed mean 7.2:1 (kept range 7.0:17.4:1)
PeerUGRatio
University of Central FloridaFL42,1287.2:1
Purdue University-Main CampusIN41,8937.4:1
Pennsylvania State University-Main CampusPA(trimmed)41,4487.8:1
The University of Texas at AustinTX(trimmed)40,5546.7:1
Michigan State UniversityMI38,4067.0:1

Peers chosen by similarity score: same control + NCAA division weighted highest, plus Carnegie classification and UG enrollment band. The highest and lowest peer ratios are trimmed before averaging so one outlier doesn’t shift the range; the implied range is the school’s coach count multiplied by the kept peers’ min and max ratios, capped at UG enrollment.

Administrative spending

Institutional Support (administration) measured two ways, from IPEDS expense-by-function reporting: as a share of total operating expenses alongside Instruction (faculty/teaching), and indexed against net tuition revenue to show whether admin spending tracks the revenue that funds it.

Admin: 2.2% → 1.4% · Instruction: 19.5% → 14.0%

Instruction and Institutional Support as a share of total operating expenses. Instruction is the IPEDS faculty/teaching proxy; Institutional Support is the administrative proxy (executive management, finance, HR, general admin). A narrowing gap means admin is gaining on teaching.

Student-to-admin ratio · AY 2023-24
10.0:1
59,504 student FTE ÷ 5,979 full-time admin
47% below Carnegie peer average — more admin-dense than peers
Carnegie reference
18.7:1
R1: Doctoral, Very High Research · n=107
Mean students-per-admin across schools in the same Carnegie classification (target excluded). Higher means leaner administrative footprint.

What “admin” means here: Management (OCCUPCAT 300) + Business and Financial Operations (OCCUPCAT 310) full-time staff — the “decision-making admin” headcount. Source: IPEDS S2023_OC survey (Fall 2023). This is a headcount metric, not a dollar metric, so it isn’t contaminated by regional salary differences. Not part of the fragility score; surfaced as descriptive context only.

Latest-year breakdown (FY 2023-24)

PillarRaw MetricScore
Operating Margin10.7%0 / 25
Pricing Power$19,305 real net tuition / FTE25 / 25
Debt Burden0.66 viability ratio20 / 25
Liquidity174 days cash on hand8 / 25

Peer schools

Closest by Fragility Score in FY 2023-24. Financial similarity only — geographic / regional clustering is a separate (future) feature.

Selected raw financials — FY 2023-24

GASB / IPEDS Finance F1A. DSO totals from LLM enrichment of audited financial statements; see /sources for citations.

Total revenue (F1B27)
$10.72B
Total expenses (F1C191)
$10.02B
Net tuition revenue (F1B01)
$1.06B
Auxiliary enterprises revenue (F1B05)
$391.5M
State appropriations (F1B11)
$504.5M
Endowment EOY (F1H02)
$7.90B
Long-term debt (F1A10)
$3.18B
Expendable net position (F1N05)
$4.79B
Interest expense (F1C19IN)
$185.6M
DSO debt — campus-specific
$183.9M
DSO debt — system-level pool
$3.86B